Dhacdooyinka dhaqaale ee soo socda 4 Diseembar 2024

Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Muhiimadda	Event	Saadaasha	Previous
00:30		2 dhibcood	GDP (QoQ) (Q3)	0.5%	0.2%
00:30		2 dhibcood	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	1.1%	1.0%
00:30		2 dhibcood	au Jibun Bank Adeegyada PMI (Nov)	50.2	49.7
01:45		2 dhibcood	Adeegyada Caixin PMI (Nov)	52.5	52.0
09:00		2 dhibcood	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov)	48.1	50.0
09:00		2 dhibcood	Adeegyada HCOB Eurozone PMI (Nov)	49.2	51.6
13:15		3 dhibcood	Isbeddelka Shaqada Aan Beeraha ADP (Nov)	166K	233K
13:30		2 dhibcood	Madaxweynaha ECB Lagarde ayaa hadlay	---	---
14:45		2 dhibcood	S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov)	55.3	54.1
14:45		3 dhibcood	S&P Adeegyada Caalamiga ah PMI (Nov)	57.0	55.0
15:00		2 dhibcood	Dalabka Warshadaha (MoM) (Oktoobar)	0.3%	-0.5%
15:00		2 dhibcood	ISM Shaqaale Aan Wax Soo Saareyn (Noofambar)	53.0	53.0
15:00		3 dhibcood	PMI Aan Wax Soo Saareyn ISM (Nov)	55.5	56.0
15:00		3 dhibcood	Qiimaha Wax-soo-saarka Aan ISM ahayn (Nov)	56.4	58.1
15:30		3 dhibcood	Warshadaha Casriga ah	---	-1.844M
15:30		2 dhibcood	Cushing Inventories Oil Crude	---	-0.909M
15:30		2 dhibcood	Madaxweynaha ECB Lagarde ayaa hadlay	---	---
18:45		3 dhibcood	Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell ayaa hadlay	---	---
19:00		2 dhibcood	Boor Book	---	---

Kooban Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda Diisambar 4, 2024

1. Xogta GDP Australia (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   • QoQ: Saadaasha: 0.5%, Kii hore: 0.2%.
   • YoY: Saadaasha: 1.1%, Kii hore: 1.0%.
     Kobaca GDP ee xooggan wuxuu tilmaamayaa soo kabashada dhaqaalaha, taageeraya AUD. Xogta daciifka ah waxay soo jeedinaysaa dhaqdhaqaaq dhaqaale oo gaabis ah, oo laga yaabo in lagu miisaamo lacagta.
2. Japan & Shiinaha Xogta PMI (00:30–01:45 UTC):
   • Japan ama Baanka Jibun Adeegyada PMI (Nov): Saadaasha: 50.2, Tii hore: 49.7.
   • Shiinaha Caixin Adeegyada PMI (Nov): Saadaasha: 52.5, Tii hore: 52.0.
     Akhriska PMI ee ka sarreeya 50 waxay muujinayaan ballaarinta. Tirokoobyo xoog leh ayaa taageeri doona JPY iyo CNY iyagoo muujinaya waxqabadka qaybta adeegga ee adag, halka xogta daciifka ah laga yaabo inay miisaanto lacagaha.
3. Xogta PMI ee aagga Euro (09:00 UTC):
   • Isku-dhafka PMI (Nov): Saadaasha: 48.1, Tii hore: 50.0.
   • Adeegyada PMI (Nov): Saadaasha: 49.2, Tii hore: 51.6.
     PMIs ee ka hooseeya 50 waxay muujinayaan foosha. Xogta daciifka ah ayaa miisaankeedu yahay EUR, halka akhrinta ka xoog badan inta la filayo laga yaabo inay bixiso taageero.
4. Isbeddelka Shaqaalaynta Aan Beeraha ADP US (Nov) (13:15 UTC):
   • Saadaasha: 166k, Previous: 233K
     Waxay muujinaysaa kobaca shaqada ee qaybaha gaarka loo leeyahay. Tirada daciifka ah waxay soo jeedin kartaa qaboojinta suuqa shaqada, oo laga yaabo inay miisaanto USD. Xog adag ayaa taageeri doonta lacagta.
5. Madaxweynaha ECB Lagarde oo hadlay (13:30 & 15:30 UTC):
   Faallooyinka Hawkish ee Lagarde waxay taageeri doonaan EUR iyagoo xoojinaya rajooyinka la adkeynayo, halka hadalada dovish ay jilicsan karaan lacagta.
6. US PMI & Amarka Warshadaha (14:45–15:00 UTC):
   • S&P Global Services PMI (Nov): Saadaasha: 57.0, Tii hore: 55.0.
   • ISM PMI Aan Wax Soo Saareyn (Nov): Saadaasha: 55.5, Tii hore: 56.0.
   • Amarka Warshada (MoM) (Oktoobar): Saadaasha: 0.3%, Kii hore: -0.5%.
     Hagaajinta PMI iyo amarada warshaduhu waxay tilmaamaysaa adkeysiga dhaqaalaha Mareykanka, iyadoo taageereysa USD. Xogta daciifka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay miisaanto lacagta.
7. Iibka Saliida Ceyriin ee Mareykanka (15:30 UTC):
   • Previous: -1.844M.
     Hoos u dhac weyni wuxuu taageeri doonaa qiimaha saliidda iyo lacagaha ku xiran badeecadaha, halka dhismuhu uu muujin doono baahida daciifka ah, cadaadiska qiimaha.
8. Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell wuxuu ku hadlaa & Buuga Beige (18:45–19:00 UTC):
   Faallooyinka Powell iyo Buugga Beige ayaa laga yaabaa inay bixiyaan aragtiyo ku saabsan aragtida Fed ee sicir-bararka, kobaca, iyo dhaqdhaqaaqyada siyaasadda mustaqbalka. Tones Hawkish ayaa taageeri doona USD, halka hadalada dovish ay wiiqi karaan.

---

Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa

• Xogta GDP ee Australia:
  Tirooyinka GDP ee xooggan ayaa taageeri doona AUD, oo muujinaya xoogga dhaqaalaha. Xogta daciifka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay hoos u dhigto dareenka lacagta.
• Japan & Shiinaha Xogta PMI:
  Kordhinta qaybaha adeegga ee Japan ama Shiinaha waxay taageeri doontaa JPY iyo CNY, taasoo muujinaysa soo kabashada dhaqaalaha. Qandaraasyadu waxay miisaami karaan labada lacagood.
• Eurozone PMI Xogta & Faallooyinka ECB:
  PMI ee daciifka ah waxay miisaamayaan EUR iyagoo muujinaya caqabadaha dhaqaale. Faallada Hawkish ECB waxay ka hortagi kartaa saameynta xogta daciifka ah, taageeridda lacagta.
• US ADP, PMI, iyo Amarka Warshadaha:
  Shaqaalaysiinta xooggan iyo xogta PMI waxay xoojin doontaa USD iyagoo muujinaya adkeysiga qaybaha shaqada iyo adeegga. Xogta daciifka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay soo jeediso qaboojin dhaqaale, oo la miisaamayo lacagta.
• Alaabta Saliida Ceyriin:
  Hoos-u-dhigiddu waxay taageeri doontaa qiimaha saliidda, iyada oo ka faa'iidaysanaysa lacagaha ku xiran badeecadaha sida CAD iyo AUD. Dhismuhu wuxuu muujinayaa baahida daciifka ah, cadaadiska qiimaha.
• Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell & Buugga Beige:
  Tones Hawkish waxay taageeri doontaa USD iyagoo xoojinaya filashooyinka sare u kaca. Hadalada dovish ama dareenka taxadarka leh ayaa miisaan ku yeelan kara lacagta.

---

Saamaynta Guud

Iskudhisanaanta:
Sare, oo leh xogta muhiimka ah ee Australia, Eurozone, iyo US, oo ay weheliso faallooyinka bangiga dhexe ee Lagarde iyo Powell qaabaynta dareenka suuqa.

Dhibcaha Saamaynta: 8/10, oo ay wadaan GDP, PMI, xogta shaqada, iyo aragtida bangiga dhexe ee saameeya dhaqdhaqaaqa AUD, EUR, iyo USD.