Jeremy Oles

La daabacay: 02/01/2025
La wadaag!
Dhacdooyinka dhaqaale ee soo socda 3 Janaayo 2025
By La daabacay: 02/01/2025
Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0)StateMuhiimaddaEventSaadaashaPrevious
15:00Warranty2 pointsShaqaalaynta Waxsoosaarka ISM (Dec)----48.1
15:00Warranty3 pointsSoosaarka ISM PMI (Dec)48.348.4
15:00Warranty3 pointsQiimaha Waxsoosaarka ISM (Dec)50.550.3
16:00🇪🇺2 pointsLaynka ECB wuu hadlaa--------
18:00Warranty2 pointsAtlanta FedNow (Q4)--------
18:00Warranty2 pointsBaker U.S. Hughes Oil Rig Tirinta----483
18:00Warranty2 pointsRoofiyaha Maraykanka Hughes Total Rig Count----589

Kooban Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda Janaayo 3, 2025

  1. Xogta Waxsoosaarka ISM ee US (15:00 UTC):
    • Shaqada Wax-soo-saarka ISM: Kii hore: 48.1.
    • Soosaarka ISM PMI: Saadaasha: 48.3, Previous: 48.4.
    • Qiimaha Waxsoosaarka ISM: Saadaasha: 50.5, Previous: 50.3.
      Warbixinada ISM waxay bixiyaan aragtiyo ku saabsan caafimaadka qaybta wax soo saarka ee Maraykanka. Akhriska ka sarreeya 50 waxay muujinayaan balaadhinta, halka ay ka hooseeyaan 50 calaamadaha foosha. Qaybaha shaqada iyo qiimaha waxay bixiyaan tafaasiil dheeraad ah oo ku saabsan isbeddellada shaqaaleysiinta iyo cadaadiska sicir-bararka.
  2. Laynka ECB wuu hadlaa (16:00 UTC):
    • Faallo ka timid Philip Lane, ECB Chief Economist, ayaa laga yaabaa inay bixiso fikrado ku saabsan siyaasadda lacagta aagga Euro iyo aragtida sicir bararka. Suuqyadu waxay raadin doonaan hagitaan ku saabsan heerka dulsaarka iyo soo kabashada dhaqaalaha.
  3. US Atlanta Fed GDPNow (18:00 UTC):
    • Wuxuu la socdaa qiyaasaha kobaca GDP ee waqtiga-dhabta ah ee Q4. Qiyaasaha deggan ama hagaajinta waxay taageeraan xoogga USD, halka hoos u dhacu uu muujin karo hoos u dhac dhaqaale.
  4. Baker US Hughes Rig Count (18:00 UTC):
    • Tirada Ceelasha Saliidda: Kii hore: 483.
    • Wadarta tirada Riig: Kii hore: 589.
      Wuxuu la socdaa tirada qalabka wax qodista ee firfircoon ee gudaha Maraykanka, oo ah tilmaame muujinaya dhaqdhaqaaqa qaybta tamarta. Korodhka ayaa soo jeedinaya heerarka wax soo saarka ee sarreeya, taas oo saameyn karta qiimaha saliidda.

Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa

  • Xogta Waxsoosaarka ISM ee US:
    • Muuqaal Wanaagsan: Akhrinta sare ee saadaasha ama xasilinta ku dhow 50 waxay muujinaysaa adkeysiga qaybta wax soo saarka, taageeraya USD.
    • Xaalad Xun: Xogta daciifka ah waxay ku miisaamaysaa USD iyadoo tilmaanta caqabadaha wax soo saarka ee joogtada ah.
  • Faallo ECB:
    • Hadalka Lane wuxuu saameyn karaa EUR, gaar ahaan haddii uu si maldahan u sheego isbeddellada ku yimid siyaasadda lacagta ee ECB. Codka Hawkish-ka ayaa xoojin doona EUR, halka dhawaaqyada dovish ay daciifin karaan.
  • Baker Hughes Rig Count:
    • Tirooyinka dhaadheer ee sarreeya waxay soo jeedinayaan kor u kaca wax soo saarka Maraykanka, oo suurtogal ah inuu cadaadis saaro qiimaha saliidda. Hoos u dhaca ayaa laga yaabaa inuu taageero qiimaha saliidda, isagoo ka faa'iideysanaya lacagaha ku xiran badeecadaha.
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow:
    • Saadaasha kobaca ee xasiloon ama hagaajinaysa waxay xoojisaa USD, halka dib-u-eegisyada hoose ay muujin karaan dhaq-dhaqaaq dhaqaale oo daciif ah.

Saamaynta Guud

Iskudhisanaanta: Dhexdhexaad, oo darawalada muhiimka ah ay yihiin xogta wax soo saarka Maraykanka iyo faallooyinka ECB's Lane.

Dhibcaha Saamaynta: 6/10, sida xogta ISM iyo saadaasha GDPNow ay qaabayn karto dareenka USD muddada gaaban, halka faallooyinka ECB ay saameyn ku yeeshaan isbeddellada EUR.