Jeremy Oles
La wadaag!
| Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Muhiimadda | Event | | Previous |
| 00:00 |  | 2 points | Dood-wadaag Jackson Hole | ---- | ---- |
| 14:00 | | 3 points | Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell ayaa hadlay | ---- | ---- |
| 17:00 | | 2 points | Baker U.S. Hughes Oil Rig Tirinta | ---- | 412 |
| 17:00 | | 2 points | Roofiyaha Maraykanka Hughes Total Rig Count | ---- | 539 |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC Saliida Crude Jagooyinka saafiga ah | ---- | 116.7K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | Jagooyinka saafiga ah ee CFTC Gold | ---- | 229.5K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC Nasdaq 100 boosaska saafiga ah | ---- | 33.8K |
| 19:30 | | 2 points | CFTC S&P 500 boosaska saafiga ah | ---- | -139.6K |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | CFTC AUD boosaska saafiga ah | ---- | -83.6K |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | CFTC JPY boosaska saafiga ah | ---- | 82.0K |
| 19:30 |  | 2 points | CFTC EUR boosaska saafiga ah | ---- | 116.0K |
Soo koobida Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda Ogosto 22, 2025
Caalami – diiradda Bankiga Dhexe
Dood-cilmiyeedka Jackson Hole - Maalinta oo dhan (00:00 UTC)
- Saameyn: Dhacdada socota. Taariikh ahaan, Jackson Hole waa meesha bangiyada dhexe ay calaamadeeyaan isbedelada siyaasadeed ee waaweyn (tusaale, QE ee 2010, adkaynta 2021). Ka qaybgalayaasha suuqyadu waxay la socon doonaan khudbad kasta si ay u tilmaamaan tillaabooyinka xiga ee Fed iyo isuduwidda lacagta adduunka.
- Hantida Muhiimka ah ee ay saamaysay: USD, Khasnadaha Maraykanka, sinnaanta caalamka, dahabka.
Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell ayaa hadlaya - 14:00 UTC
- Saameyn: The dhacdadii ugu halista badnayd ee maalinta. Codka Powell (hawkish vs dovish) ayaa tilmaami doona jihada suuqa ee mustaqbalka dhow.
- Hawkish: Waxay xoojisaa USD, kor u qaaddaa wax-soosaarka khasnadda, cadaadisyada sinaanta.
- Dovish: Waxay daciifisaa USD, taageertaa sinnaanta, waxay kordhisaa dahabka.
Maraykanka - Tamarta & Meelaynta
US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count - 17:00 UTC
- Kahor .: 412
- Saameyn: Hoos u dhaca tirooyinka riiggu waxay soo jeedinayaan in saadka la adkeeyo, oo lagu taageerayo qiimaha saliidda cayriin. Riigyada xasiloon ama kor u kacaya waxay muujinayaan wax soo saar badan, oo ku miisaamaya saliid.
Baker US Hughes Total Rig Count - 17:00 UTC
- Kahor .: 539
- Saameyn: Waxay bixisaa aragti ballaadhan oo ku saabsan hawsha qodista, oo leh saamayn la mid ah suuqyada tamarta.
Warbixinta Meelaynta CFTC - 19:30 UTC
- Goobaha Saafiga ah ee Saliida Ceyriin: Horay +116.7K → Dheeraad sare = dareen ba'an oo saliid ah.
- Meelaha Shabakadda Dahabka ah: Horay +229.5K → Soo-gaadhista dheer ee sare waxay muujinaysaa baahida xayndaab adag.
- Jagooyinka Shabakadda ee Nasdaq 100: Horay +33.8K → Dareen togan oo ku wajahan sinnaanta tignoolajiyada.
- S&P 500 Specs Jagooyinka Shabakadda: Horay -139.6K → Dharka gaaban ee saafiga ah waxay muujinayaan eex dhabarka ah xagga sinnaanta ballaaran.
- Jagooyinka Shabakadda ee AUD Spec: Horay -83.6K → Meelaynta meelaynta waxay soo jeedinaysaa khataraha hoos u dhaca ee sii socda.
- Jagooyinka Shabakadda ee JPY Spec: Horay +82.0K → Longs signal goob ammaan ah baahida.
- Jagooyinka Shabakadda ee EUR Spec: Horay +116.0K → Dhererka saafiga ah wuxuu muujinayaa xoogsheegasho EUR, oo xasaasi u ah codka ECB.
Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa
- Jackson Hole + Hadalka Powell = Darawalka Suuqa Caalamiga ah
- Tani waxay dabooli doontaa dhammaan dhacdooyinka kale. Codka Powell ayaa go'aamiya in qiimaha suuqyada ee Fed-ka oo dheeraad ah, heerar sare oo dheeraad ah, ama fududayn hore.
- Suuqyada Tamarta: Tirinta Rig iyo boosaska saliidda ee CFTC waxay xoojin karaan saliidda qaaliga ah haddii sahaydu ay sii ahaato mid xaddidan oo dhererka mala-awaalka ah ay kor u kacdo.
- Biraha Qaaliga ah: Meelaynta dahabka ayaa weli ah mid sare; Powell's dovishness waxay kicin kartaa isu soo bax.
- Sinaanta: Nasdaq iyo S&P meelaynta mustaqbalka ayaa soo jeedinaysa yididiilo teknooloji laakiin taxaddar suuqa oo ballaadhan. Dovish Powell wuxuu tuujin karaa surwaalka gaaban, halka hadalada xamaasada leh ay sii qoto dheereeyaan khatarta sinnaanta.
- FX: Meelaynta AUD iyo EUR waxay muujinayaan dareen kala duwan - daciifnimo AUD (khatarta badeecada) vs xoogga EUR (xilliga ECB). JPY waxay ahaanaysaa xayndaab ammaan ah.
Dhibcaha Guud ee Saamaynta: 10/10
- Hadalka Powell's Jackson Hole waa dhacdada kaliya ee ugu muhiimsan bisha Ogosto ee suuqyada caalamka.
- Volatility wuxuu noqon doonaa mid aad u sarreeya guud ahaan USD, Khasnadaha Mareykanka, dahabka, saliidda, sinnaanta, iyo lammaanaha FX ee waaweyn.
