Jeremy Oles

La daabacay: 14/01/2025
La wadaag!
Lacagaha loo yaqaan 'cryptocurrencies' oo kala duwan oo leh taariikhda dhacdooyinka soo socda
By La daabacay: 14/01/2025
Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0)StateMuhiimaddaEventSaadaashaPrevious
03:15🇪🇺2 pointsLaynka ECB wuu hadlaa--------
08:00🇪🇺2 pointsECB's De Guindos wuu hadlayaa--------
09:00Warranty2 pointsWarbixinta billaha ah ee IEA--------
10:00🇪🇺2 pointsWax-soo-saarka Warshadaha (MoM) (Nov)0.3%0.0%
13:30Warranty2 pointsCore CPI (YoY) (Dec)3.3%3.3%
13:30Warranty3 pointsCore CPI (MoM) (Dec)0.2%0.3%
13:30Warranty3 pointsCPI (YoY) (Dec)2.9%2.7%
13:30Warranty3 pointsCPI (MoM) (Dec)0.4%0.3%
13:30Warranty2 pointsTusaha Waxsoosaarka Boqortooyada NY (Jan)-0.300.20
15:00Warranty2 pointsXubinta FOMC Kashkari ayaa hadlay--------
15:30Warranty3 pointsWarshadaha Casriga ah-3.500M-0.959M
15:30Warranty2 pointsCushing Inventories Oil Crude-----2.502M
16:00Warranty2 pointsXubinta FOMC Williams ayaa hadlay--------
19:00Warranty2 pointsBoor Book--------

Kooban Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda Janaayo 15, 2025

Midowga Yurub

  1. Laynka ECB wuu hadlaa (03:15 UTC):
    Aragtida siyaasadda lacagta iyo rajada sicir bararka.
  2. ECB's De Guindos wuu hadlayaa (08:00 UTC):
    Waxa laga yaabaa inay wax ka qabato aragtida dhaqaale ee ECB, taasoo saamaynaysa EUR.
  3. Wax-soo-saarka Warshadaha (MoM) (Nov) (10:00 UTC):
    • Saadaasha: 0.3%, Previous: 0.0%.
      Akhrinta xooggan waxay soo jeedinaysaa dib u soo kabashada qaybta warshadaha ee aagga euro-da, taageeridda EUR.

United States

  1. Core CPI (YoY & MoM) (13:30 UTC):
    • Saadaasha YoY: 3.3%, Previous: 3.3%.
    • Saadaasha MoM: 0.2%, Previous: 0.3%.
      Wuxuu cabbiraa isbeddellada sicir-bararka ee hoose, oo uu si dhow u eegayo Fed.
  2. CPI (YoY & MoM) (13:30 UTC):
    • Saadaasha YoY: 2.9%, Previous: 2.7%.
    • Saadaasha MoM: 0.4%, Previous: 0.3%.
      Ciwaanka sicir bararka ayaa cabbiraya isbeddelka qiimaha guud; akhrinta sare waxay tilmaami kartaa cadaadiska sicir-bararka ee joogtada ah.
  3. Tusaha Waxsoosaarka Boqortooyada NY (13:30 UTC):
    • Saadaasha: -0.30, Previous: 0.20.
      Waxay ka tarjumaysaa waxqabadka wax soo saarka ee New York; hoos u dhac ayaa tilmaamaya qandho ka jira qaybta.
  4. Xubinta FOMC Kashkari ayaa hadlay (15:00 UTC):
    Faallooyin ka soo baxay xubintan cawaanka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay iftiimiyaan waddooyinka sicirka mustaqbalka.
  5. Alaabta Saliida ceyriin (15:30 UTC):
    • Saadaasha: -3.500M, Previous: -0.959M.
      Sawir gacmeed ka weyn kii la filayey ayaa taageeraya qiimaha saliidda.
  6. Cushing Inventories Oil Crude (15:30 UTC):
    Waxay ka tarjumaysaa isbeddellada kaydinta ee xarunta ugu weyn ee Maraykanka, taasoo saamaynaysa qiimaha cayriin.
  7. Xubinta FOMC Williams ayaa hadlay (16:00 UTC):
    Aragtida xubinta muhiimka ah ee codaynta ee xaaladaha dhaqaalaha iyo siyaasadda lacagta.
  8. Buuga Beige (19:00 UTC):
    Warbixinnada dhaqaalaha gobolka oo bixiya aragtiyo ku saabsan xaaladda dhaqaalaha Mareykanka, saameynaya dareenka suuqa.

Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa

  1. Saamaynta EUR:
    • Hawkish ama faallooyinka rajo-gelinta leh ee Lane iyo De Guindos waxay xoojin karaan EUR.
    • Xogta wax soo saarka warshadaha ee togan waxay xoojisaa kalsoonida dhaqaalaha aagga euro.
  2. Saamaynta USD:
    • Xasilooni ama kor u kaca CPI waxay kordhisaa suurtogalnimada sii adkeynta Fed, taageeridda USD.
    • Xogta wax-soo-saarka taban ama faallooyinka dovish waxay miisaami kartaa USD.
  3. Saamaynta Suuqa Saliida:
    • Soo saarista alaabada muhiimka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay sare u qaaddo qiimaha cayriin, taasoo ka faa'iidaysanaysa kaydka tamarta iyo CAD.

Volatility & Dhibcaha Saamaynta

  • Iskudhisanaanta: Sare (Xogta Sicir Bararka Maraykanka iyo Warbixinada Saliida Ceyriin).
  • Dhibcaha Saamaynta: 8/10 - Xogta sicir-bararka Mareykanka, warbixinnada alaabada saliidda, iyo faallooyinka Fed ayaa haysta suurtagalnimada dhacdooyinka dhaqdhaqaaqa suuqa.