Jeremy Oles

La daabacay: 10/09/2025
La wadaag!
By La daabacay: 10/09/2025
Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0)StateMuhiimaddaEventForecastPrevious
08:00Warranty2 pointsWarbixinta billaha ah ee IEA--------
11:00Warranty2 pointsWarbixinta billaha ah ee OPEC--------
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsQiimaha Xarunta Debaajiga (Sebtember)2.00%2.00%
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsXarunta Amaahinta Marginal ECB----2.40%
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsBayaanka Siyaasadda Lacagta ee ECB--------
12:15🇪🇺2 pointsGo'aanka Heerka Dulsaarka ECB (Sebtember)2.15%2.15%
12:30Warranty2 pointsSii wad sheegashada Shaqo la'aanta----1,940K
12:30Warranty2 pointsCore CPI (MoM) (Ogosto)0.3%0.3%
12:30Warranty2 pointsCore CPI (YoY) (Ogosto)----3.1%
12:30Warranty2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Ogosto)0.3%0.2%
12:30Warranty2 pointsCPI (YoY) (Ogosto)2.9%2.7%
12:30Warranty2 pointsCodsiyada Shaqo-la'aanta Bilowday234K237K
12:45🇪🇺2 pointsShirka jaraa'id ee ECB--------
14:15🇪🇺2 pointsMadaxweynaha ECB Lagarde ayaa hadlay--------
17:00Warranty2 pointsXaraashka dabaajiga 30-sano----4.813%
18:00Warranty2 pointsIsu-dheellitirka Miisaaniyadda Federaalka (Ogosto)-305.7B-291.0B
20:30Warranty2 pointsXaashida Hadhaaga ee Fed----6,602B
22:30🇳🇿2 pointsGanacsiga NZ PMI (Agoosto)----52.8
22:45🇳🇿2 pointsIibinta Tafaariiqda Kaadhka Elektarooniga ah (MoM) (Aug)----0.2%

Soo koobida Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda September 11, 2025

Suuqyada Tamarta - Warbixinada IEA & OPEC

  • Warbixinta bilaha ah ee IEA - 08:00 UTC
  • Warbixinta bilaha ah ee OPEC - 11:00 UTC
  • Saameyn: Labada warbixinba waxay cusboonaysiin doonaan rajada dalabka iyo sahayda saliidda.
    • Dib-u-eegis ballaaran (baahida sare, saadka hoose) → Qiimaha cayriin oo sarreeya, CAD/NOK xooggan, iyo sinnaanta tamarta.
    • Dib u eegis → cadaadiska saliidda iyo dareenka khatarta ah.

Yurub - ECB Go'aamada Siyaasadda

Go'aanka Heerka ECB (Sep) - 12:15 UTC

  • Qiimaha Xarunta Debaajiga: 2.00% (isku mid)
  • Qiimaha ugu weyn: 2.15% (isku mid)
  • Saameyn: Wax isbedel ah lama filayo. Diiradda suuqa ayaa u wareegta:
    • Bayaanka Siyaasadda Lacagta ee ECB & Shirka Jaraa'id ee Lagarde (12:45 & 14:15 UTC).
    • Codka Hawkish → Taageerada EUR, curaarta ayaa kor u kacda.
    • Codka Dovish → EUR wuu jilciyaa, sinnaanta ayaa laga yaabaa inay isu soo baxaan.

Maraykanka - Sicir bararka, Shaqada & Bonds

Xogta CPI (Aug) - 12:30 UTC

  • Core CPI (MoM): 0.3% (isku mid)
  • CPI (YoY): 2.9% (2.7%)
  • Saameyn:
    • Kulul CPI → Hawkinimada Fed ayaa soo noolaatay, USD kor u kac, wax soo saarku kor u kacay, sinnaanta ayaa la cadaadiyay.
    • Jilicsan CPI → USD daciif, sinnaanta kor u kaca, isu soo baxa curaarta.

Sheegashada Shaqo La'aanta - 12:30 UTC

  • Bilawga: 234K (kii hore 237k)
  • Sii socota: ~1.94M (1.94M ka hor)
  • Saameyn: Sheegashada xasilloon = adkeysiga suuqa shaqada → waxay yaraynaysaa qolka Fed si loo fududeeyo. Sare u kaca ayaa taageeri doonta filashooyinka dovish.

Xaraashka dabaajiga 30-sano - 17:00 UTC

  • Wax-soo-saar hore: 4.813%
  • Saameyn: Qiyaasta qiimaha amaahda muddada-dheer ee muhiimka ah. Baahida daciifka ah → wax soo saar sare, cadaadis xagga sinnaanta. Baahi xooggan → isu soo baxa gargaarka ee curaarta iyo sinnaanta.

Hadhaaga Miisaaniyadda Federaalka (Aug) - 18:00 UTC

  • Saadaasha: -305.7B (kii hore -291B)
  • Saameyn: Deficits weyn → welwelka deynta muddada-dheer, waxay miisaami kartaa curaarta & dareenka USD.

Xaashida Hadhaaga Fed - 20:30 UTC

  • Previous: $ 6,602B
  • Saameyn: Yaraynta waxay taageertaa dareeraha adag, balaadhintu waxay muujinaysaa fududayn.

New Zealand - Xaaladaha Ganacsiga

Ganacsiga NZ PMI (Aug) - 22:30 UTC

  • Previous: 52.8
  • Saameyn: Ka sarreeya 50 = ballaarinta, taageerta NZD. Isbeddellada daciifnimada waxay dhaawici doontaa dareenka NZD.

Iibka Tafaariiqda Kaadhka Elektarooniga ah (Aug) - 22:45 UTC

  • Previous: + 0.2%
  • Saameyn: Waxay ka tarjumaysaa xoogga baahida macaamiisha; kor u kaca ayaa taageera NZD.

Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa

  • Tamarta: IEA & OPEC waxay kicin karaan isbeddelka saliidda goor hore.
  • ECB: Go'aanka sicirka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu sii jiro, laakiin codka Lagarde ayaa dejin doona jihada EUR.
  • Mareykanka: CPI waa kan darawalka suuqa muhiimka ah ee maalinta. Xaraashka dammaanadda iyo dhimista maaliyadeed waxay xoojiyaan dhaq-dhaqaaqa wax-soosaarka Khasnadda.
  • NZ: Saamaynta labaad, laakiin xogta tafaariiqda ayaa laga yaabaa inay NZD u guurto ganacsiga Aasiya.

Dhibcaha Guud ee Saamaynta: 9/10

  • maxaad: US CPI, go'aamada siyaasadda ECB, iyo cusbooneysiinta suuqa saliidda waxay abuuraan a maalin saddex-darawal loogu talagalay FX, sinnaanta, curaarta, iyo badeecadaha.