Dhacdooyinka dhaqaale ee soo socda 1 Luulyo 2025

Waqtiga (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Muhiimadda	Event	Forecast	Previous
01:45		2 points	Soosaarka Caixin PMI (MoM) (Jun)	49.2	48.3
03:35		2 points	10-Sano JGB Xaraashka	----	1.512%
07:40		2 points	ECB's De Guindos wuu hadlayaa	----	----
08:00		2 points	Soosaarka HCOB Eurozone PMI (Jun)	49.4	49.4
08:40		2 points	ECB's Elderson wuu hadlayaa	----	----
09:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Jun)	2.3%	2.3%
09:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (Jun)	----	0.0%
09:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Jun)	2.0%	1.9%
10:40		2 points	ECB's Schnabel wuu hadlayaa	----	----
13:30		3 points	Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell ayaa hadlay	----	----
13:30		2 points	Madaxweynaha ECB Lagarde ayaa hadlay	----	----
13:45		3 points	Soosaarka Caalamiga ah ee S&P PMI (Jun)	52.0	52.0
14:00		2 points	Kharashka Dhismaha (MoM) (Maajo)	-0.1%	-0.4%
14:00		2 points	Shaqaalaynta Waxsoosaarka ISM (Jun)	----	46.8
14:00		3 points	Soosaarka ISM PMI (Jun)	48.8	48.5
14:00		3 points	Qiimaha Waxsoosaarka ISM (Jun)	70.2	69.4
14:00		3 points	JOLTS Shaqooyinka Furan (May)	7.450M	7.391M
17:00		2 points	Atlanta FedNow (Q2)	2.9%	2.9%
20:30		2 points	Kaydka Saliida Ceyriinka Todobaadlaha ah ee API	----	-4.277M

Soo koobida Dhacdooyinka Dhaqaale ee Soo Socda Julaay 1, 2025

Aasiya - Shiinaha & Japan

• Soosaarka Caixin PMI (Jun) - 01:45 UTC
  • Rajo: 49.2 (kii hore 48.3)
  • Saameyn: Hoos-u-dhac ka hooseeya 50 ayaa muujinaya foosha sii socota; horumar kasta ayaa taageeraya CNY, sinnaanta gobolka, iyo lacagaha badeecooyinka ku xidhan.
• 10-Sano JGB Xaraashka - 03:35 UTC
  • Waxsoosaarka la filayo: ~ 1.512%
  • Saameyn: Saamaynta dalabka xaraashka JPY wax soo saar iyo dhaqdhaqaaqa suuqa curaarta; Baahida daciifka ah ayaa laga yaabaa inay kor u qaaddo wax soo saarka oo ay daciifiso yenka.

Yurub – Wax-soo-saarka Eurozone & Sicir-bararka

• Khudbadaha ECB:
  • De Guindos - 07:40 UTC
  • Elderson - 08:40 UTC
  • Schnabel - 10:40 UTC
  • Lagarde - 13:30 UTC
• Soosaarka HCOB Eurozone PMI (Jun) - 08:00 UTC
  • Rajo: 49.4 (kii hore 49.4)
• Siidaynta CPI (Jun) - 09:00 UTC
  • Muhiimadda CPI YoY: 2.3% (2.3%)
  • Ciwaanka CPI YoY: 2.0% (1.9%)
  Saameyn: Fadhiidnimada wax-soo-saarka iyo CPI-da deggan ayaa maamuli doonta waxyaabaha laga filayo Kala duwanaanshaha heerka dulsaarka EUR. Codka ECB ku hadla—hawkish vs dovish—ayaa fure u noqon doona qaabaynta EUR jihada.

Maraykanka - Qudbadihii Fed & Xogta Wax Soo Saarka

• Guddoomiyaha Fed Powell ayaa hadlay - 13:30 UTC
  • Saameyn: Darawalka suuqa caalamiga ah ee muhiimka ah; Tilmaamaha siyaasaddu waxay saameeyaan USD, Wax-soo-saarka Khasnadda, iyo kaydka.
• Soosaarka Caalamiga ah ee S&P PMI (Jun) - 13:45 UTC
  • Rajo: 52.0 (isku mid)
  • Saameyn: Wuxuu xaqiijinayaa ballaarinta wax soo saarka; la jaanqaada dareenka khatarta ah.
• Kharashka Dhismaha (May) - 14:00 UTC
  • Rajo: -0.1% (kii hore -0.4%)
  • Saameyn: Waxay bixisaa aragtida maalgashiga go'an; dib u soo celin kasta dareenka qaybta dhismaha.
• Shaqada Soosaarka ISM & PMI & Qiimaha (Jun) - 14:00 UTC
  • PMI: 48.8 (Hore 48.5)
  • Tusmada Qiimaha: 70.2 (Hore 69.4)
  • Saameyn: Soo kabashada yar ee PMI iyo qiimayaasha sare ayaa laga yaabaa inay ka tarjumayaan socda cadaadiska kharashka, saamayn ku leh Aragtida siyaasadda Fed.
• JOLTS Shaqooyinka Furan (May) - 14:00 UTC
  • Rajo: 7.45M (Hore 7.39M)
  • Saameyn: Shaqooyinka sare ee furan waxay soo jeedinayaan adkeysiga suuqa shaqada, taas oo awood u leh malo-awaal heer-goyn ah.
• Atlanta FedNow (Q2) - 17:00 UTC
  • Rajo: 2.9% (isku mid)
  • Saameyn: Waxay soo jeedinaysaa kobaca dhexdhexaadka ah inuu sii socdo-taageeraya sinnaanta laakiin waxa laga yaabaa inay xaddiddo dagaalka Fududeynta Fed.

Badeecadaha & Tamarta

• Kaydka Saliida Ceyriinka Todobaadlaha ah ee API - 20:30 UTC
  • barbarihii hore: -4.277M
  • Saameyn: Barbaro kale ayaa taageera qiimaha saliidda waxaana laga yaabaa inuu sii socdo rajada sicir bararka iyo kaydka sinnaanta tamarta.

Falanqaynta Saamaynta Suuqa

• Dhacdooyinka Mareykanka ayaa u badan maalinta, leh Hadalada Powell, akhrinta ISM/PMI, iyo xogta JOLTS meelaynta suuqyada ee aragtida Fed iyo khatarta koritaanka.
• Soosaarka Eurozone iyo CPI, oo lagu daray khudbado badan oo ECB ah, saamayn doona EUR iyo rajada wax-soo-saarka curaarta.
• Xogta Aasiya (Shiinaha PMI, xaraashka Japan) qaabeeya codka halista bilowga usbuuca.
• Xogta alaabada saliidda waxay kicin kartaa tamarta fadhiga dambe iyo dhaqdhaqaaqyada xasaasiga ah ee sicir-bararka.

Dhibcaha Guud ee Saamaynta: 9/10

Meelaha muhiimka ah:

• Faallada Powell iyo Calaamadaha wax soo saarka sicir bararka/mushaarka Mareykanka-muhiim u ah Habka Fed.
• EUR-based PMI iyo ECB tones-waxay qeexi doontaa rabitaanka cuntada khatarta ah ee suuqyada Yurub.
• Shiinaha PMI iyo xaraashka curaarta Japan- tilmaamayaasha hore ee khatarta caalamiga ah.
• Sawirka saliidda waxa laga yaabaa inay keento kiciye soo daahay Qiimaha sicir bararka ee ku xidhan badeecadaha.